Awọn iṣẹlẹ eto-ọrọ ti n bọ ni Oṣu Kẹta Ọjọ 18, Ọdun 2025

Àkókò(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	pataki	Event	Forecast	Ti tẹlẹ
07:30		2 points	ECB's Elderson Sọ	----	----
09:00		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (Oṣu Karun)	2.3%	2.7%
09:00		2 points	CPI (MoM) (Oṣu Karun)	0.0%	0.6%
09:00		3 points	CPI (YoY) (Oṣu Karun)	1.9%	1.9%
12:30		2 points	Awọn iyọọda Ilé (Oṣu Karun)	1.430M	1.422M
12:30		2 points	Ilọsiwaju Awọn iṣeduro Iṣẹ	----	1,956K
12:30		2 points	Ibẹrẹ Ile (Oṣu Karun)	1.360M	1.361M
12:30		2 points	Ibẹrẹ Ibugbe (MoM) (Oṣu Karun)	----	1.6%
12:30		3 points	Ibere ​​Awọn aini Jobless	----	248K
14:30		3 points	Awọn Ile-iṣẹ Epo Epo Ilu	----	-3.644M
14:30		2 points	Cushing robi Epo Inventories	----	-0.403M
15:00		2 points	ECB ká Lane Sọ	----	----
15:30		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)	----	----
18:00		2 points	Isọtẹlẹ Oṣuwọn iwulo – Ọdun 1st (Q2)	----	3.4%
18:00		2 points	Isọtẹlẹ Oṣuwọn iwulo – Ọdun keji (Q2)	----	3.1%
18:00		2 points	Isọtẹlẹ Oṣuwọn iwulo – Lọwọlọwọ (Q2)	----	3.9%
18:00		2 points	Isọtẹlẹ Oṣuwọn iwulo – Gigun (Q2)	----	3.0%
18:00		3 points	FOMC Awọn asọtẹlẹ Iṣowo	----	----
18:00		3 points	Gbólóhùn FOMC	----	----
18:00		3 points	Ipinnu Oṣuwọn Oṣuwọn Ifẹ	4.50%	4.50%
18:00		2 points	ECB's De Guindos Sọ	----	----
18:30		3 points	Apero FOMC Tẹ	----	----
20:00		2 points	Awọn iṣowo Igba pipẹ TIC Net (Apr)	----	161.8B
22:45		2 points	GDP (QoQ) (Q1)	0.7%	0.7%

Akopọ ti Awọn iṣẹlẹ Iṣowo ti Nbọ ni Oṣu Kẹfa Ọjọ 18, Ọdun 2025

Eurozone

1. ECB's Elderson, Lane, ati De Guindos Sọ - 07:30, 15:00, 18:00 UTC

• Ipa Ọja:
  • Eyikeyi iyipada ninu ohun orin lẹhin gige oṣuwọn ECB aipẹ yoo ni ipa EUR, mnu Egbin ni, ati ewu itara.
  • Awọn ifihan agbara Hawkish le ṣe okunkun EUR; awọn akiyesi dovish le tẹ Euro siwaju sii.

2. CPI & mojuto CPI (May) - 09:00 UTC

• Core CPI (YoY): Asọtẹlẹ 2.3% | Ti tẹlẹ 2.7%
• CPI (YoY): Asọtẹlẹ 1.9% | Ti tẹlẹ 1.9%
• CPI (MoM): Asọtẹlẹ 0.0% | Ti tẹlẹ 0.6%
• Ipa Ọja:
  • Ijabọ mojuto afikun yoo fun awọn ireti lagbara pe ECB yoo tẹsiwaju rẹ dovish ona.
  • A gbona-ju-reti kika le fa EUR lati tun pada ati awọn eso lati dide.

United States

3. Ibugbe Bẹrẹ & Awọn igbanilaaye Ilé (Oṣu Karun) - 12:30 UTC

• Awọn iyọọda Ilé: Asọtẹlẹ 1.430M | Ti tẹlẹ 1.422M
• Ibẹrẹ Ibugbe: Asọtẹlẹ 1.360M | Ti tẹlẹ 1.361M
• Ipa Ọja:
  • Iduroṣinṣin ni awọn atilẹyin ile aropin idagbasoke aropin.
  • Awọn nọmba alailagbara le fa awọn ifiyesi nipa ile eka slowdown, o ṣee ṣe atilẹyin Je gige.

4. Awọn ẹtọ ti ko ni iṣẹ - 12:30 UTC

• Awọn ẹtọ akọkọ: Ti tẹlẹ 248K
• Awọn iṣeduro ti o tẹsiwaju: Ti tẹlẹ 1.956M
• Ipa Ọja:
  • Rirọ ọja iṣẹ siwaju yoo ṣe atilẹyin Je oṣuwọn gige, lakoko ti data ti o lagbara le ṣe idinwo awọn ireti dovish.

5. Robi Oil Inventories - 14:30 UTC

• ti tẹlẹ: -3.644M

6. Cushing Inventories - 14:30 UTC

• ti tẹlẹ: -0.403M
• Ipa Ọja:
  • Awọn iyaworan nla le atilẹyin epo owo, igbega awọn ifiyesi afikun ati ipa awọn iṣura aladani.

7. Atlanta je GDPNow (Q2) - 15:30 UTC

• Ipa Ọja:
  • Eyikeyi oke àtúnyẹwò ntọju idagba awọn ifiyesi kekere, diwọn Fed easing ireti.

8. Ipinnu Oṣuwọn Awọn anfani FOMC, Gbólóhùn, ati Awọn asọtẹlẹ - 18:00 UTC

• Oṣuwọn Awọn inawo Fed: Asọtẹlẹ 4.50% | Ti tẹlẹ 4.50%
• Awọn asọtẹlẹ Oṣuwọn iwulo (Idite Aami):
  • Ọdun 1st: Ti tẹlẹ 3.4%
  • Ọdun keji: Ti tẹlẹ 2%
  • Lọwọlọwọ: Ti tẹlẹ 3.9%
  • Ṣiṣe gigun: Ti tẹlẹ 3.0%
• Ipa Ọja:
  • Pataki agbaye idojukọ. Ko si iyipada ti a nireti, ṣugbọn awọn imudojuiwọn si awọn asọtẹlẹ ati idite aami yoo ṣe apẹrẹ naa 2025 oṣuwọn ona.
  • Idite aami hawkish le ṣajọpọ USD ati awọn ikore, titẹ equities.
  • Awọn asọtẹlẹ Dovish le fa awọn apejọ ti o lagbara sinu ewu ìní ati ìde.

9. FOMC Tẹ alapejọ - 18:30 UTC

• Ipa Ọja:
  • Ohun orin Powell yoo pinnu USD igba kukuru ati itọsọna dukia eewu lẹhin awọn asọtẹlẹ.

10. TIC Net Awọn iṣowo igba pipẹ (Apr) - 20:00 UTC

• ti tẹlẹ: 161.8B
• Ipa Ọja:
  • Lagbara ajeji eletan fun US ìní atilẹyin awọn USD ati mnu awọn ọja.

Ilu Niu silandii

11. GDP (QoQ) (Q1) - 22:45 UTC

• Asọtẹlẹ: 0.7% | ti tẹlẹ: 0.7%
• Ipa Ọja:
  • A miss le titẹ NZD ati ki o mu ipadasẹhin ibẹrubojo.
  • Titẹ to lagbara le atilẹyin NZD ati ilọsiwaju itara eewu agbegbe.

Oja Ipa Analysis

• Eyi jẹ ọkan ninu awọn awọn ọjọ ipa ti o ga julọ ti oṣu.
• Ipinnu FOMC, Idite Dot, ati Apejọ Powell yoo ṣeto ohun orin ewu agbaye.
• Eurozone CPI yoo ni agba ECB ireti ati EUR itọsọna.
• Ile AMẸRIKA, data iṣẹ, ati awọn akojo epo le wakọ USD igba diẹ, iwe adehun, ati awọn gbigbe inifura.
• New Zealand GDP iyipo jade iyipada fun Asia-Pacific awọn ọja.

Apapọ Ipa Ipa: 10/10

Idojukọ bọtini:
Gbogbo agbaye awọn ọja yoo wo awọn Awọn asọtẹlẹ oṣuwọn imudojuiwọn Fed ati apejọ atẹjade Powell, eyi ti yoo seese pàsẹ sunmọ-oro gbigbe ni USD, awọn equities, Awọn iṣura, goolu, ati awọn ohun-ini eewu ni agbaye. Oni iloju o pọju iyipada ewu kọja fere gbogbo awọn kilasi dukia.